Four Weeks to Election Day: Momentum Grows for Mikie Sherrill as Jack Stumbles

According to a campaign briefing shared with party insiders and community leaders, recent polls — including one released by Fox News — show Sherrill l eading Ciattarelli by eight points, signaling that her message of affordability, transparency, and accountability is resonating across the state.

The internal memo highlights a series of new data points suggesting that Sherrill’s support is rising among Black, Latino, college-educated, and younger voters, while Ciattarelli continues to face skepticism over his alignment with former President Donald Trump and his record on taxes.

Also Read, Tweet & Share: Trump Slashes Gateway Tunnel Funds — Jack Ciattarelli Stays Silent as Mikie Sherrill Fights for New Jersey

In addition to the Fox News poll, a Quinnipiac University survey and internal campaign data both show Sherrill maintaining a consistent lead. Despite heavy spending by Ciattarelli’s allies, voters, the campaign notes, appear unconvinced by attacks and are instead responding positively to Sherrill’s focus on making life more affordable for New Jersey families.

Sherrill’s campaign claims an unmatched ground operation, reporting over 4.2 million voter contacts, including more than 1.3 million phone calls, 2.5 million text messages, and nearly half a million door knocks since the June primary. The campaign also reports a fundraising total surpassing $7.75 million, with contributions from all 21 counties.

Also Read, Tweet & Share: AFGE, Nation’s Largest Federal Employee Union, Endorses Mikie Sherrill for Governor

Sherrill’s team says their strong outreach in Black and Latino communities — including Newark, Paterson, Atlantic City, Trenton, Plainfield, and Vineland — has been critical to building a broad, statewide coalition.

Meanwhile, the Ciattarelli campaign has come under scrutiny after federal officials opened an investigation into the alleged illegal release of Sherrill’s unredacted military records to an ally of his campaign. That controversy appears to have sparked a surge of grassroots donations for Sherrill, according to her team, with more than $750,000 raised in small-dollar contributions following the news.

Also Read, Tweet & Share: Major Donor to Jack Ciattarelli Sued Over Rent-Hike Algorithm Amid Housing Crisis in New Jersey

Sherrill has centered her campaign on affordability and cost-of-living issues, releasing detailed plans such as her Affordability Agenda, Save You Time and Money Plan, and a State of Emergency on Utility Costs. National outlets like CNN, Axios, and Bloomberg have cited her as a model for candidates addressing household financial burdens.

By contrast, Ciattarelli has faced “widespread criticism” for offering vague fiscal proposals, praising high utility rates, and aligning himself with Trump’s MAGA agenda. Critics have accused him of being “tone-deaf” and “backward-looking,” pointing to his absence from key community events and his attendance at an anti-vaccine conspiracy forum earlier this year.

Also Read, Tweet & Share: “Oof.” — Jack’s Ticket Sparks Outrage After Saying “All Taxes Are on the Table”

As one campaign staffer reportedly put it, “It’s getting late early for Jack.”